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Democrats get good news in key Senate race

Independent voters could sway Ohio’s elections with an outcome that one pollster predicts will be a different outcome than the state’s 2016 and 2020 results, with Democrats and Republicans enjoying different levels of success.

A new Marist poll released Tuesday showed Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown leading his Republican opponent, Bernie Moreno, by 50 to 45 percent among statewide voters. The gap widens when only independents are considered, with Brown enjoying a 53-37 advantage.

The re-election of Brown, a staunch pro-union liberal who has represented Ohio in the Senate since 2007, is crucial to Democrats maintaining their majority in what will be another razor-thin outcome.

Sherrod Brown
Committee Chairman Sherrod Brown speaks during a hearing on Senate oversight on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on May 16. A new Marist poll shows Brown 16 points higher than…


ROBERTO SCHMIDT/AFP via Getty Images

Moreno, an entrepreneur who has shifted his focus to politics, runs on a platform that includes “shrinking government, protecting freedoms, stopping the Chinese Communist Party from taking our data and our country, and always putting America first,” according to his campaign website.

The survey of 1,259 Ohio adults was conducted June 3-6 with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.

Newsweek contacted both candidates for comment through their campaign websites.

Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, said Newsweek by phone Tuesday that Brown’s stance resonates with voters statewide who have viewed him a certain way for years.

The poll shows Brown in favor with plus-11 points. Meanwhile, a third of respondents do not know who Moreno is, less than five months before the elections.

“Brown is quite popular and I think he’s going to hang in there a little bit, especially among independent voters. … (Moreno’s) still an unknown quantity, and I suspect he’ll tie his future to Trump, because Trump will probably want Ohio will take over,” Miringoff said. said.

Brown could be the only bright spot for Democrats in a state that Donald Trump won by eight percentage points in 2020. Trump also turned the state red after former President Barack Obama wore it.

Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee who expected to face President Joe Biden in a rematch, led Biden by seven points, 48 ​​to 41 percent, in the poll.

Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. achieved 5 percent, while other candidates, including the Green Party’s Jill Stein and independent Cornel West, received 3 percent.

The numbers are turning bleak for Biden among voters 35 and younger. Among those demographic groups, Trump’s lead over Biden increased to 9 points and Kennedy’s support grew to 12 percent.

Independents also supported Trump over Biden by a six-point margin, 43 percent to 37 percent, while Kennedy claimed 7 percent support.

Ohio respondents’ biggest problems vary. About 31 percent say preserving democracy is a top priority, while the same number say inflation is a top priority. These issues are followed by immigration (15 percent) and abortion (10 percent).

“What we’re seeing is a slightly different pattern than the (previous) two presidential elections,” Miringoff said, saying split-ticket voting is showing more momentum than in the past.

“(Ohio voters) really think it was better for them to go back to the Trump administration for four years, better than the Biden years have been. Biden’s approval rating is upside down, not surprisingly.”